The low pressure area (LPA) east of Aparri, Cagayan has developed into Tropical Depression Goring, PAGASA reported Thursday.
As of 3 a.m., the center of Goring was estimated at 400 kilometers east northeast of Aparri, Cagayan with maximum sustained winds of 55 kilometers per hour near the center and gustiness of up to 70 km/h, PAGASA said.
Goring is moving slowly west northwestward, it added.
Meanwhile, the southwest monsoon or Habagat will be affecting Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao..
There are no Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals raised in any part of the country yet.
Heavy rainfall outlook
“Tropical Depression GORING is less likely to bring heavy rainfall over the country in the next three days. However, considering the proximity of the tropical cyclone to land, any westward shift in the track forecast may result in heavy rainfall over portions of Cagayan Valley in the next three days,” PAGASa reported in its Tropical Cyclone Bulleting posted at 5 a.m.
Public and disaster managers have been advised to monitor weather updates.
The Southwest Monsoon may be enhanced by Goring on Sunday or Monday that may result to occasional rains over the western portions of Central and Southern Luzon.
The hoisting of Storm Signals over areas in Northern Luzon may begin by Thursday evening or Friday morning in anticipation of the onset of severe winds.
Track and Intensity Outlook
After a period of generally northwestward movement in the next 12 hours, Goring is forecast to turn southward while over the waters off the eastern coast of Cagayan Valley and may likely return to a more northward movement by late Monday or Tuesday.
Goring, PAGASA added, is forecast to steadily intensify throughout the forecast period and may reach tropical storm category tonight or tomorrow early morning. It may be upgraded into a typhoon category by Sunday during the southward segment of its looping track.
Forecast weather conditions
Cagayan Valley and the Cordillera Administrative Region will have cloudy skies with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms due to the trough of Tropical Depression Goring. Flooding or landslides may occur due to moderate with at times heavy rains.
Visayas, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, and BARMM will have cloudy skies with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms due to the southwest monsoon. Flooding or landslides may occur in these areas, PAGASA reported, due to moderate with at times heavy rains.
Metro Manila and the rest of the country will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms due to the southwest monsoon and localized thunderstorms with the possibility that flash floods or landslides occurring during severe thunderstorms.
The northern and western sections of Luzon will experience light to moderate wind speed moving in the southwest to west direction while coastal waters will be slight to moderate.
The rest of the country will experience light to moderate wind speed moving in the south to southwest while coastal waters will be slight to moderate.
Sunrise will be at 5:43 a.m., sunset at 6:14 p.m. — BAP, GMA Integrated News